Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 15.209513 17.729810 20.474656 23.677869 27.304759 31.275165 35.941519
2025-05-04 11.201889 14.708535 18.919044 24.305576 30.967646 38.888241 48.963752
2025-05-11 8.592295 12.426169 17.402686 24.241149 33.285015 44.715297 60.113969
2025-05-18 6.737334 10.601043 15.964483 23.792824 34.735148 49.268055 69.763781
2025-05-25 5.389373 9.158399 14.716596 23.273812 35.824802 53.217234 78.712863
2025-06-01 4.367876 7.979225 13.612631 22.718888 36.666276 56.735917 87.171208
2025-06-08 3.449824 6.774994 12.258299 21.552707 36.392347 58.522208 93.166511
2025-06-15 3.100760 6.460226 12.254512 22.454673 39.281949 65.083337 106.478964
2025-06-22 2.732337 6.038250 11.998745 22.885976 41.422661 70.610647 118.542740
2025-06-29 2.300480 5.412051 11.289777 22.445000 42.063398 73.801056 127.159398
2025-07-06 1.884955 4.734141 10.381975 21.528389 41.783166 75.448384 133.383189
2025-07-13 1.783021 4.697003 10.678083 22.816874 45.391834 83.632839 150.522301
2025-07-20 1.671202 4.642797 10.981433 24.245407 49.540527 93.275119 171.119725
2025-07-27 1.480699 4.374815 10.826797 24.804689 52.224938 100.728567 188.748049
2025-08-03 1.266205 3.997813 10.380962 24.724660 53.703762 106.189967 203.349561
2025-08-10 1.060297 3.588944 9.793100 24.266077 54.391985 110.265232 215.767742
2025-08-17 0.884514 3.213142 9.212948 23.737707 54.868906 113.954122 227.681403
2025-08-24 0.736021 2.872525 8.653942 23.173154 55.197577 117.356804 239.238167
2025-08-31 0.584676 2.473867 7.872342 21.986786 54.102599 117.963030 245.686887
2025-09-07 0.541974 2.419621 7.980472 22.904365 57.548659 127.507783 269.202587
2025-09-14 0.485888 2.302178 7.896576 23.343104 59.983744 135.209230 289.634498
2025-09-21 0.408567 2.080654 7.478885 22.894524 60.403052 138.914854 302.628853
2025-09-28 0.330176 1.823882 6.904996 21.962043 59.625126 140.125598 310.833302